Description

This analysis provides a forecast of UNI7083 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 5.310696 5.882212 6.522957 7.301544 8.231745 9.320176e+00 10.709564
2024-10-13 4.394637 5.108828 5.974143 7.123512 8.648924 1.066564e+01 13.650977
2024-10-20 3.844272 4.647807 5.686374 7.178333 9.363944 1.263519e+01 18.355668
2024-10-27 3.392857 4.230146 5.369902 7.118714 9.916287 1.463414e+01 24.499904
2024-11-03 3.141017 4.034139 5.313572 7.414305 11.112774 1.829273e+01 37.388601
2024-11-10 2.925844 3.854137 5.244314 7.671408 12.356236 2.289803e+01 60.666919
2024-11-17 2.644043 3.538356 4.915806 7.419170 12.565816 2.548682e+01 85.704614
2024-11-24 2.460442 3.347566 4.755261 7.427862 13.329998 3.026791e+01 147.206682
2024-12-01 2.284966 3.149099 4.552841 7.313583 13.788025 3.476647e+01 265.234315
2024-12-08 2.116938 2.945513 4.315308 7.082735 13.887722 3.831567e+01 494.981223
2024-12-15 1.997972 2.809882 4.178987 7.031933 14.453018 4.480688e+01 1730.231011
2024-12-22 1.884976 2.673976 4.026075 6.916746 14.806447 5.121048e+01 35102.428664
2024-12-29 1.842247 2.655989 4.093680 7.323760 17.041094 7.606837e+01 NaN
2025-01-05 1.732447 2.514870 3.915378 7.130973 17.244438 8.810854e+01 NaN
2025-01-12 1.659520 2.432146 3.840682 7.176494 18.379452 1.178297e+02 NaN
2025-01-19 1.582305 2.335981 3.729479 7.110722 19.087457 1.516887e+02 NaN
2025-01-26 1.545656 2.308974 3.753096 7.401416 21.577572 2.734228e+02 NaN
2025-02-02 1.507758 2.276338 3.760988 7.654749 24.223435 5.871810e+02 NaN
2025-02-09 1.432094 2.168980 3.601370 7.401387 24.044677 7.664004e+02 NaN
2025-02-16 1.382921 2.107795 3.534641 7.408741 25.425231 1.740410e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 1.328659 2.033703 3.433314 7.294058 26.022679 4.161626e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 1.270219 1.948571 3.301185 7.063603 25.735279 8.329444e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 1.228505 1.893019 3.229974 7.012652 26.694603 3.764408e+06 NaN